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Tuesday links: the end of securities regulation

Markets

  • Despite the market moving higher there are signs of risk-off behavior. (trendlabs.com)
  • How does the stock market do after three consecutive years of double digit returns? (ft.com)
  • Emerging market indices are increasingly tech-heavy. (rpc.cfainstitute.org)

Rates

  • Don't discount the danger of rising long term interest rates. (allstarcharts.com)
  • The stock-bond correlation is higher when inflation is higher. (behaviouralinvestment.com)
  • Are rising rates a vote on persistent fiscal deficits? (bonddad.blogspot.com)

Prediction markets

  • Polymarket is launching markets based on the performance of private companies. (finance.yahoo.com)
  • Minnesota has banned prediction markets. (npr.org)
  • The CFTC isn't happy about it. (frontofficesports.com)
  • Kalshi and Polymarket have an incentive to solve the insider trading problem. (semafor.com)
  • Unlike in the Senate, House lawmakers and staff can still bet on prediction markets. (npr.org)

Private assets

  • Direct lending volumes really took off after the Fed started raising rates in late 2021. (apollo.com)
  • Darsana Capital Partners owns a big slug of SpaceX. (wsj.com)
  • Matt Zeigler talks with Marc Rubenstein about where risks lie in the financial system. (youtube.com)

VC

  • A rising percentage of VC dollars are pouring into the biggest startups. (news.crunchbase.com)
  • VCs are betting big on humanoid robots. (pitchbook.com)
  • How health influencers helped kill Apeel Sciences. (thefp.com)
  • Why this high tech manufacturing company took venture capital. (wsj.com)

AI

  • Enterprise demand for AI is real. (thetranscript.substack.com)
  • OpenAI co-founder Andrej Karpathy is joining Anthropic. (axios.com)
  • Blackstone ($BX) and Google ($GOOGL) are spinning up a company to sell access to Google TPUs. (wsj.com)
  • The OpenAI-Musk trial was a waste. (theatlantic.com)

Trading

  • Someone is trading Trump's brokerage accounts like crazy. (axios.com)
  • Five companies Trump's accounts transacted in. (wsj.com)
  • Whoever is trading is apparently paying close attention to what he says. (popular.info)

Online

  • Yahoo Finance is taking on the Bloomberg Terminal with a new service. (fortune.com)
  • How LinkedIn became what Bluesky was supposed to. (popularbydesign.org)
  • Spotify officially bans AI-Generated podcasts that impersonate. (variety.com)
  • Amazon ($AMZN) is cutting affiliate fees. (adweek.com)

Earlier on Abnormal Returns

  • Research links: the index rebalancing trade. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • What you missed in our Monday linkfest. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Adviser links: true advice. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Don't miss a thing! Sign up for our daily e-mail newsletter. (abnormalreturns.com)

Mixed media

  • The books JP Morgan Chase ($JPM) is recommending to clients this summer including “The Infinity Machine: Demis Hassabis, DeepMind, and the Quest for Superintelligence,” by Sebastian Mallaby. (cnbc.com)
  • Why Joanna Stern's new book "I Am Not a Robot: My Year Using AI to Do (Almost) Everything" is worth a read. (lefsetz.com)