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Sunday links: time as your enemy

Markets

  • G7 yields are at their highest level in 20 years. (apollo.com)
  • The Treasury yield curve is normalizing. (carsongroup.com)

Earnings

  • This tech boom is being supported by higher earnings. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
  • P/E is made up of both P and E. If you focus on P you might miss the E. (tker.co)

Strategy

  • Understanding market history is necessary, but not sufficient, for investment success. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
  • If you can't clearly identify your edge, you likely don't have one. (rogersplanning.blogspot.com)

Prediction markets

  • Regulators have been slow to the issue of insider trading on prediction markets. (wsj.com)
  • How Polymarket adjudicates disputed market outcomes. (barrons.com)
  • How to keep the good parts of prediction markets. (bloomberg.com)
  • Why this Las Vegas casino cancelled a prediction markets conference. (nypost.com)

Companies

  • You can't really talk about 'the tech sector' any more. (morningstar.com)
  • Consumer companies are caught up in the plastics price increase. (barrons.com)
  • Some companies that do earnings announcements right. (ritholtz.com)
  • How luxury brands can have their cake and it too. (readtrung.com)

SpaceX

  • SpaceX is aiming to go public on June 12. (wsj.com)
  • It will hard for average American investors to avoid SpaceX. (slate.com)
  • If companies are going public, should you be buying? (trendlabs.com)

Taxes

  • How much revenue would closing the carried interest loophole raise? (axios.com)
  • Wealth taxes are, at best, hard to implement. (econofact.org)

Policy

  • The courts have overwhelmingly ruled against ICE. (politico.com)
  • How the Trump administration is undermining the fight against public corruption. (npr.org)
  • Trump really doesn't want presidential records preserved for posterity. (newyorker.com)
  • An example of how tariffs can be weaponized against industry competitors. (npr.org)
  • A segment of border wall is going up in Big Bend, Texas, near the Rio Grande river, despite widespread local opposition. (newyorker.com)
  • How septic tanks got caught up in the drive to eliminate DEI. (nytimes.com)
  • Why is a cabinet member filming a reality show? (npr.org)

Russia

  • Russia now uses FPV drones to hunt Ukrainian civilians. (wapo.st)
  • Putin could end the war in Ukraine tomorrow. He chooses not to. (thebulwark.com)

Economy

  • The growing stressors on American farmers.. (axios.com)
  • On the structural break in American consumer sentiment. (econbrowser.com)
  • Why don't more Americans compare themselves to citizens in other developed countries? (paulkrugman.substack.com)
  • The economic schedule for the coming week. (economicweekly.substack.com)

Earlier on Abnormal Returns

  • Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • What you missed in our Saturday linkfest. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Higher prices, not just inflation, will affect consumer sentiment for years to come. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Don't miss a thing! Sign up for our daily e-mail newsletter. (abnormalreturns.com)

Mixed media

  • ABC News has scrubbed the archives of FiveThirtyEight from the web. (nytimes.com)
  • The story behind those ubiquitous Kars4Kids ads. (friendlyatheist.com)
  • The motivation behind AI-generated 'news sites.' (floridatrib.org)