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Friday links: insider media

Markets

  • U.S. corporate profits are at a record high. (axios.com)
  • Earnings are growing, but its the wrong companies. (ft.com)

Prediction markets

  • Polymarket's annualized run rate now exceeds $1 billion. (cnbc.com)
  • Donald Trump Jr. got a free stake in Kalshi back in early 2025. (msn.com)

ETFs

  • South Korea is experiencing the downside of leveraged ETFs. (etf.com)
  • A lot of ETF 'innovation' these days is just throwing stuff up against the wall. (citywire.com)

AI

  • James Pethokoukis talks AI and work with Prof. Erik Brynjolfsson. (fasterplease.substack.com)
  • Larry Kotlikoff talks with Sebastian Mallaby, author of "The Infinity Machine." (larrykotlikoff.substack.com)
  • Sean Illing talks with Charlie Warzel about how AI is killing off the human internet. (podcasts.apple.com)

Defense

  • A look at the damage Iran was able to inflict on an American naval base in Bahrain. (wsj.com)
  • The Pentagon has reinstated mandatory influenza shots. (apnews.com)
  • Air power alone doesn't win wars. (theatlantic.com)

Economy

  • Lower gasoline prices were a boost to consumer sentiment. (wsj.com)
  • A lot of Americans have forgotten what a real recession looks like. (tedlamade.substack.com)

Earlier on Abnormal Returns

  • What you missed in our Thursday linkfest. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Longform links: building taste. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • We are rapidly running out of road to kick the proverbial Social Security can. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Are you a financial advisor? Sign up for our exclusive Talking Wealth newsletter. (talkingwealthpod.com)
  • Don't miss a thing! Sign up for our daily e-mail newsletter. (abnormalreturns.com)

Mixed media

  • The signs of a Taylor Swift wedding at Madison Square Garden are growing. (nytimes.com)
  • At present the vibes in New York City are impeccable. (whyisthisinteresting.substack.com)
  • New York City really IS different. (youngmoney.co)